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Any one of these four could conceivably set off as the favourite, while Chrono Genesis, the best middle-distance horse in Japan, also demands consideration at around 12-1 despite ending up even wider than Adayar in stall 14.Īt the overnight prices, though, Hurricane Lane, the third-favourite, is the most appealing bet at around 4-1, for all that he was eight lengths adrift of Adayar at Epsom. Like Hurricane Lane, Tarnawa drew well in stall three, while Snowfall, the runaway winner of the Oaks on soft ground in June, is 5-1 to win from stall nine. He had plenty of first-hand evidence to go on, having watched from eight lengths away in third place as Adayar won the Derby in June before switching to his saddle to win the King George at Ascot the following month.īuick has also partnered Hurricane Lane on all six of his starts this season, including two Classic victories and another in the Group One Grand Prix de Paris over Sunday’s track and trip, so the betting market understandably saw his preference for Adayar as a major positive. William Buick, Charlie Appleby’s No 1 rider, opted to ride Adayar in preference to Hurricane Lane nearly a week ago, when the ground in Paris was still unusually quick for the time of year.
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Frankie Dettori showed how it can be done – and on a Derby winner, too – as recently as 2015, when he was happy to sit wide for the first half-mile before picking his moment to slot in behind the pace.īut in a race as strong as this year’s Arc, with at least four horses in the field that would be worthy favourites in an average year, small margins matter more than ever.Įvery half-length lost racing wide around Longchamp’s sweeping turns will need to be retrieved in the final two furlongs, from the grip of Group One horses who have had a smoother trip. It is not impossible to win the Arc from a high draw.